1 thought on “How to analyze whether an industry has a good prospect”

  1. I. Analyze the prospects of an industry from the general direction and strategic direction of the national policy

    to analyze an industry, first of all, it depends on the national policy general direction and the environment of this industry. For example, the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China has made major decisions to deepen reform. Focus on developing strategic emerging industries and aerospace military industry. Therefore, some strategic emerging industries that are closely related to reform will benefit for a long time, with broad prospects, such as green energy, energy conservation and environmental protection, environmental governance, 4G, intelligent equipment, aerospace military industry and other related industries. China is a policy market, and many good industries are promoted by the government, so when we look at an industry, we must not put aside the policy environment in this industry. “Standing on the cusp of the wind, pigs will fly.” That’s the truth.
    Prebritable analysis methods: Pay more attention to the official website of the National Development and Reform Commission, the national industrial policy website, the People’s Daily Online, and the financial websites to understand some of the country’s industrial policies.
    . Looking at the scale of this industry
    If attention to an industry, we must also think about the scale of this industry. The larger the industry circle (such as clothing and medicine), it means that the industry can expand infinitely, and the greater your choice opportunities. There are more development opportunities in this industry. The smaller the industry, once you leave a company or a certain area, your choice opportunity is much smaller.
    If judging the scale of an industry, you can look at the user group served in this industry, whether it is Volkswagen or a certain type of special user base. You can see if this industry has geographical restrictions. Looking at the scale of the industry’s output value, there are generally institutions announced relevant data.
    . The development stage of this industry is now.
    Most industries will experience several development stages of development, growth, prosperity, stability, decline, etc. Few industries can last for a long time. The rapid growth period and prosperity period are a golden period of the industry. For example, the mobile Internet is received in a period of growth. The PC Internet is in the period of prosperity and stability. Now if you want to choose to enter these two industries from scratch, would you choose the former or the latter?
    . Look at the stock trend of listed companies in this industry and some related economic indicators.
    The stock price is the advanced indicator of the industry’s prosperity. To a certain extent, the valuation trend of listed companies reflects the future prosperity of the industry. These related data and economic indicators can be found through stock trading software, the official website of the State Bureau of Statistics. In addition, some industries can reflect the prosperity of the industry through some economic indicators. For example, the non -ferrous metal industry can react through the US dollar index trend. The change in power generation reflects the degree of prosperity of the manufacturing industry to a certain extent. House sales data can reflect the growth of the home decoration, building materials and other industries related to it.
    5. Analyze from the industry’s leading companies and the industry’s top figures to analyze
    to understand a industry, to understand what are the leading companies and key characters. Pay more attention to some of their speeches, speeches, Weibo, and blog updates. Because they have a certain right to speak in this industry, some of their views often represent the development direction of the industry.
    For example, e -commerce, the most important thing is nothing more than Tencent, Baidu, Alibaba, Xiaomi and other companies. The corresponding representatives are nothing more than Ma Huateng, Li Yanhong, Ma Yun, Lei Jun and other entrepreneurs. The focus of attention reflects in some of their remarks, which is about the future development direction of e -commerce. So you will see these godfather -level characters. For a long time before, I have been talking about the mobile Internet.

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